Tory Leadership a Resounding Win for Poilievre, but Can He Prevail in a Federal Election?

News Analysis
Pierre Poilievre may have scored a resounding win in the Conservative leadership race, but whether he can win in a federal election as late as three years away is less certain.
Don Desserud, political science professor at the University of Prince Edward Island, believes Poilievre’s chances hinge on two factors.
“One, the distribution of votes. Increasing his support out West won’t give him more seats. He needs support in Ontario,” he said in an interview.
“Two, whether he scares Liberal and NDP supporters enough for them to turn up in big numbers and vote for their party. He’s counting on them staying home as well and believes—perhaps correctly—that Liberal and NDP support is tepid at best.”…

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